Gibbons' Trading

2008 stock trading profit +2.50%

2007 futures trading profit +21.5%

We provide our VTM trading signals to hedge funds, large traders, and institutional money managers

Our proprietary VTM Trading System combines market timing, value investing, trend following, and money management

Timer Digest 2002 and 2007 Timer of the Year

http://timerdigest.com


 

About Gibbons' Trading

 

Gibbons' Trading LLC is a Las Vegas based private hedge fund that is engaged in proprietary trading, research, and publishing. The company's managing partner is Michael Gibbons who earned a Bachelor of Arts Degree from California State University at Long Beach in Economics. He was a pioneer in computerized market analysis, having used it for trading and research since 1971. For twenty six years, Michael was a broker and trading advisor working for some of the nation's largest investment firms.

 

Nine years ago, he created the Value Trading Method (VTM) which is a proprietary black-box "quant" momentum method of trading that uses a minimal number of parameters so as to not reduce statistical degrees of freedom. The accuracy and profitability of VTM trades continues to be consistent with acceptable deviation from the mean. He recently enhanced the money management aspect of his trading, and thus he expects continued gains with even less volatility of returns. 

The VTM market timing model combines value investing, market timing, trend following, and money management. It is an integrated and statistically robust trading method that trades with a significant edge. The accumulation of edges on a per trade basis has produced a positive return in most years. Low probability situations are ignored, and high probability situations are always employed.

Gibbons' Trading clients include large traders, banks, forex dealers, hedge funds, brokers, insurance companies, risk management firms, and many institutional money managers. His fees for his services and publications are among the highest in the world.

The VTM objectively determines where and when supply and demand become factors in any stock or market. This means that the VTM indicates the most probable price and time area when a stock or market will change trend. This is based on historic measurements of price and time, and is essentially a quantifiable way of measuring actual supply and demand. It is what the market is saying about itself. The VTM also knows the price area to expect accumulation of assets for a move higher, as well as the price area that generates distribution of assets for a move lower. Prior to a change in trend, all markets enter into a "setup" or value buying/selling zone. Once in setup, a breakout method is used to enter a trade. Once in a trade, a powerful trend following method is employed that was perfected over thirty six years of trading. Thus, the VTM allows investors to generally be long markets when they are rising, and short markets when they are declining. Since the trend is the basis of all profit, returns are maximized by being on the right side of the trade more often than not. In this way, we are able to capture those occasional large market moves.

All stocks and markets alternate between being in uptrends and downtrends, and the VTM allows him to capitalize on this pattern at highly probable market turning points. The pattern inherent in his method repeats itself over and over again in every domestic and foreign market or stock. Gibbons says that his work is largely out of the mainstream of usual analytical techniques. Gibbons thinks that there is very little in the public domain that is valuable to traders. If any of the ideas and trading methods in the public domain worked as well as advertised, they would not be for sale. His extensive testing revealed a few specific factors that work consistently over long time periods and various market conditions, and he incorporated them into his VTM timing model.

Gibbons thinks that fundamental analysis is not useful in trading because you still have to decide when to buy and sell, which fundamental analysis is incapable of providing per se. In addition, he thinks 95% of technical analysis is worthless because of the subjectivity inherent in most of it. The small portion of technical analysis that is objective, was not found to be particularly profitable in his thirty six years of testing. 

Gibbons’ Trading LLC offers various financial publications. All trades are determined by computerized analysis of the current market situation and the trend as defined by his method.

 


"Money rests on the axiom that every man is the owner of his mind and his effort. Money allows no power to prescribe the value of your effort except the voluntary choice of the man who is willing to trade you his effort in return. Money permits you to obtain for your goods and your labor that which they are worth to the men who buy them, but no more. Money permits no deals except those to mutual benefit by the unforced judgment of the traders."

"Men have been taught that it is a virtue to agree with others. But the creator is the man who disagrees. Men have been taught that it is a virtue to swim with the current. But the creator is the man who goes against the current. Men have been taught that it is a virtue to stand together. But the creator is the man who stands alone."

Ayn Rand 


"We cannot direct the wind, but we can adjust the sails."

Michael Gibbons


Current Market Analysis

Updated 5/3/2008

Our current VTM trading signals are reserved for subscribers only. VTM is a proprietary "quant" momentum method of trading that uses a minimal number of parameters so as to not reduce statistical degrees of freedom. The accuracy and profitability of VTM trades continues to be consistent with acceptable deviation from the mean. We have enhanced the money management aspect of our trading, and thus we expect continued gains with even less volatility of returns. The VTM over ten years of real time trading has proven to be among the most profitable trading methods in the world.

Our stock index trades have been profitable 73.1% of the time and have made a net profit of $29,677,725.00 over our history.


Track Record

Subscriptions

Contact Us